Observed Finding

The Analysis Found a $251,000 Opportunity. Now Inspect the Evidence.

This is an Observed Finding from Harbor Ridge Scenario 1's frozen blind-test output — not a Benchmark Result.

How this Number is Derived

In-network (INN) claims

Billed$1,216,954.73
Collected$812,530.95
Realization rate66.77%

Out-of-network (OON) claims

Billed$688,137.27
Collected$209,054.85
Realization rate30.38%

The counterfactual

If OON claims had collected at the INN realization rate instead of their own:

OON billed$688,137.27
INN rate66.77%
Expected OON collections$459,452.45

Minus what OON claims actually collected:

Expected OON collections$459,452.45
Actual OON collected$209,054.85
Estimated gap$250,397.60
Inspect the Underlying Claim-Level Records (160 claims)
Opportunity Payer Episode Claim Billed Allowed Collected Status
HRO-000002 INN KIPU-000001 CLM-000001 $9,148.49 $6,777.89 $7,188.97 Closed
HRO-000002 INN KIPU-000001 CLM-000002 $8,700.16 $6,999.61 $6,926.85 Closed
HRO-000004 INN KIPU-000002 CLM-000003 $14,474.24 $11,019.19 $11,671.40 Closed
HRO-000009 INN KIPU-000004 CLM-000005 $12,713.28 $10,702.42 $11,544.90 Closed
HRO-000026 INN KIPU-000006 CLM-000007 $24,414.73 $20,214.76 $18,653.20 Paid
HRO-000028 INN KIPU-000007 CLM-000008 $9,880.02 $7,724.83 $8,041.80 Closed
HRO-000044 INN KIPU-000009 CLM-000010 $14,109.15 $10,947.46 $11,475.74 Closed
HRO-000046 INN KIPU-000010 CLM-000011 $7,425.08 $5,677.06 $5,441.48 Paid
HRO-000046 INN KIPU-000011 CLM-000012 $21,388.50 $15,611.40 $15,809.60 Closed
HRO-000059 INN KIPU-000014 CLM-000016 $9,824.17 $8,138.48 $7,948.86 Closed
HRO-000059 INN KIPU-000015 CLM-000017 $10,090.10 $8,567.38 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000073 INN KIPU-000019 CLM-000021 $8,537.71 $6,223.75 $5,632.02 Paid
HRO-000073 INN KIPU-000020 CLM-000022 $15,511.73 $12,582.22 $12,644.03 Closed
HRO-000095 INN KIPU-000021 CLM-000023 $23,341.63 $18,066.90 $16,709.67 Paid
HRO-000098 INN KIPU-000022 CLM-000024 $7,649.50 $5,543.81 $5,967.60 Closed
HRO-000104 INN KIPU-000023 CLM-000025 $9,386.11 $6,842.59 $6,840.93 Closed
HRO-000105 INN KIPU-000024 CLM-000026 $14,301.55 $12,028.99 $12,474.61 Closed
HRO-000106 INN KIPU-000025 CLM-000027 $4,611.69 $3,694.96 $3,748.08 Closed
HRO-000106 INN KIPU-000026 CLM-000028 $9,672.18 $7,877.61 $8,213.18 Closed
HRO-000129 INN KIPU-000028 CLM-000030 $11,756.26 $9,204.84 $8,834.91 Paid
HRO-000140 INN KIPU-000031 CLM-000033 $5,727.27 $4,772.04 $4,877.75 Closed
HRO-000152 INN KIPU-000033 CLM-000035 $9,357.77 $7,190.32 $7,070.02 Paid
HRO-000152 INN KIPU-000034 CLM-000036 $15,146.86 $11,069.15 $11,268.68 Closed
HRO-000159 INN KIPU-000035 CLM-000037 $17,344.91 $14,428.91 $13,820.08 Paid
HRO-000166 INN KIPU-000037 CLM-000040 $6,407.32 $5,260.99 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000166 INN KIPU-000038 CLM-000041 $21,138.73 $16,714.49 $18,217.52 Closed
HRO-000167 INN KIPU-000039 CLM-000042 $7,894.94 $6,536.53 $6,526.32 Paid
HRO-000167 INN KIPU-000040 CLM-000043 $8,200.29 $5,999.06 $5,844.08 Paid
HRO-000167 INN KIPU-000040 CLM-000044 $9,291.65 $7,683.53 $8,050.57 Closed
HRO-000168 INN KIPU-000041 CLM-000045 $10,820.96 $8,358.51 $8,709.27 Closed
HRO-000168 INN KIPU-000041 CLM-000046 $10,429.44 $8,493.91 $8,301.00 Closed
HRO-000178 INN KIPU-000045 CLM-000052 $8,181.54 $6,562.70 $6,655.17 Closed
HRO-000187 INN KIPU-000046 CLM-000053 $13,865.67 $10,774.38 $10,579.46 Paid
HRO-000200 INN KIPU-000048 CLM-000056 $13,906.34 $10,070.80 $9,497.06 Paid
HRO-000203 INN KIPU-000050 CLM-000058 $9,701.22 $8,062.23 $8,203.99 Closed
HRO-000203 INN KIPU-000051 CLM-000059 $17,948.48 $14,243.88 $13,256.63 Paid
HRO-000204 INN KIPU-000052 CLM-000060 $10,386.12 $8,047.04 $8,252.57 Closed
HRO-000204 INN KIPU-000052 CLM-000061 $10,382.62 $8,723.58 $9,100.27 Closed
HRO-000206 INN KIPU-000053 CLM-000062 $12,576.24 $10,230.53 $10,383.17 Closed
HRO-000221 INN KIPU-000055 CLM-000064 $6,193.12 $5,216.64 $4,969.52 Paid
HRO-000221 INN KIPU-000056 CLM-000065 $20,246.28 $15,674.45 $14,647.02 Paid
HRO-000226 INN KIPU-000058 CLM-000068 $10,696.58 $8,888.56 $8,805.01 Paid
HRO-000248 INN KIPU-000062 CLM-000072 $13,547.49 $10,231.53 $9,745.33 Paid
HRO-000249 INN KIPU-000063 CLM-000073 $4,454.09 $3,355.34 $3,413.44 Closed
HRO-000264 INN KIPU-000066 CLM-000076 $4,671.63 $3,859.71 $4,031.64 Closed
HRO-000264 INN KIPU-000066 CLM-000077 $4,160.93 $3,214.95 $3,161.38 Closed
HRO-000267 INN KIPU-000068 CLM-000079 $14,583.84 $10,754.32 $10,493.50 Paid
HRO-000270 INN KIPU-000069 CLM-000080 $7,932.08 $6,370.79 $6,406.72 Closed
HRO-000270 INN KIPU-000070 CLM-000081 $22,278.05 $16,173.80 $16,166.62 Paid
HRO-000283 INN KIPU-000074 CLM-000086 $18,049.72 $13,232.48 $12,810.44 Paid
HRO-000296 INN KIPU-000076 CLM-000088 $5,351.19 $4,429.57 $4,411.20 Closed
HRO-000296 INN KIPU-000077 CLM-000089 $24,939.20 $20,071.13 $19,996.19 Paid
HRO-000301 INN KIPU-000078 CLM-000090 $3,629.45 $2,886.47 $3,177.18 Closed
HRO-000302 INN KIPU-000079 CLM-000091 $3,757.75 $3,144.76 $3,161.47 Closed
HRO-000302 INN KIPU-000079 CLM-000092 $4,615.48 $3,570.53 $3,608.54 Closed
HRO-000302 INN KIPU-000080 CLM-000093 $22,458.71 $19,011.73 $17,915.06 Paid
HRO-000303 INN KIPU-000081 CLM-000094 $8,805.61 $6,832.47 $7,287.68 Closed
HRO-000303 INN KIPU-000082 CLM-000095 $14,500.37 $11,563.36 $11,831.55 Closed
HRO-000307 INN KIPU-000083 CLM-000096 $7,664.66 $5,807.38 $6,249.45 Closed
HRO-000314 INN KIPU-000086 CLM-000099 $5,182.34 $4,041.57 $4,082.79 Closed
HRO-000315 INN KIPU-000087 CLM-000100 $26,505.70 $20,908.33 $20,715.28 Paid
HRO-000317 INN KIPU-000089 CLM-000103 $4,288.29 $3,481.92 $3,514.60 Closed
HRO-000317 INN KIPU-000090 CLM-000104 $19,789.91 $16,647.89 $16,639.97 Paid
HRO-000324 INN KIPU-000092 CLM-000106 $6,037.31 $4,417.84 $4,272.94 Closed
HRO-000324 INN KIPU-000093 CLM-000107 $16,582.36 $12,539.10 $12,181.22 Paid
HRO-000326 INN KIPU-000094 CLM-000108 $21,179.50 $17,094.10 $16,556.78 Paid
HRO-000331 INN KIPU-000095 CLM-000109 $21,579.41 $17,438.93 $17,030.31 Closed
HRO-000337 INN KIPU-000099 CLM-000113 $19,204.94 $15,309.56 $15,861.42 Closed
HRO-000338 INN KIPU-000100 CLM-000114 $6,524.01 $4,993.05 $4,888.87 Closed
HRO-000338 INN KIPU-000101 CLM-000115 $25,120.17 $19,049.08 $19,900.63 Closed
HRO-000345 INN KIPU-000105 CLM-000119 $6,406.32 $5,068.42 $5,100.29 Closed
HRO-000345 INN KIPU-000106 CLM-000120 $14,953.65 $11,338.02 $10,520.78 Paid
HRO-000356 INN KIPU-000109 CLM-000124 $17,351.98 $13,623.18 $13,661.71 Closed
HRO-000364 INN KIPU-000110 CLM-000125 $20,652.50 $15,924.95 $0.00 Denied
HRO-000377 INN KIPU-000113 CLM-000128 $21,257.39 $17,874.32 $0.00 Denied
HRO-000389 INN KIPU-000115 CLM-000130 $3,735.41 $3,169.92 $2,930.77 Paid
HRO-000389 INN KIPU-000116 CLM-000131 $15,018.67 $12,671.53 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000397 INN KIPU-000118 CLM-000133 $24,214.61 $17,552.51 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000407 INN KIPU-000121 CLM-000137 $5,220.83 $4,289.81 $4,014.05 Paid
HRO-000407 INN KIPU-000122 CLM-000138 $12,528.52 $9,868.08 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000413 INN KIPU-000125 CLM-000141 $4,140.01 $3,088.71 $2,903.95 Paid
HRO-000413 INN KIPU-000125 CLM-000142 $3,580.78 $2,600.92 $2,471.66 Paid
HRO-000413 INN KIPU-000126 CLM-000143 $16,757.99 $12,707.13 $12,109.00 Paid
HRO-000418 INN KIPU-000127 CLM-000144 $9,622.03 $7,401.27 $7,043.79 Paid
HRO-000418 INN KIPU-000128 CLM-000145 $10,210.22 $8,225.64 $7,615.92 Paid
HRO-000426 INN KIPU-000129 CLM-000146 $9,758.92 $7,170.46 $6,934.43 Paid
HRO-000429 INN KIPU-000130 CLM-000147 $16,928.49 $13,425.69 $12,953.70 Paid
HRO-000430 INN KIPU-000131 CLM-000148 $5,230.72 $4,339.49 $4,416.50 Closed
HRO-000437 INN KIPU-000133 CLM-000150 $6,190.78 $4,756.97 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000447 INN KIPU-000134 CLM-000151 $16,049.14 $13,056.85 $12,438.17 Paid
HRO-000455 INN KIPU-000137 CLM-000154 $4,569.26 $3,788.58 $3,851.22 Closed
HRO-000460 INN KIPU-000138 CLM-000155 $7,089.93 $5,957.91 $6,330.16 Closed
HRO-000460 INN KIPU-000138 CLM-000156 $6,709.42 $5,343.95 $5,765.12 Closed
HRO-000486 INN KIPU-000143 CLM-000162 $6,791.80 $5,377.94 $5,277.90 Paid
HRO-000486 INN KIPU-000143 CLM-000163 $7,151.79 $5,271.97 $5,525.14 Closed
HRO-000498 INN KIPU-000144 CLM-000164 $15,895.03 $12,499.90 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000508 INN KIPU-000145 CLM-000165 $7,432.41 $5,870.58 $5,570.95 Paid
HRO-000508 INN KIPU-000146 CLM-000166 $26,640.17 $21,441.98 $0.00 Submitted
HRO-000517 INN KIPU-000150 CLM-000171 $8,201.38 $6,430.27 $6,283.38 Paid
HRO-000517 INN KIPU-000151 CLM-000172 $18,880.11 $15,106.48 $0.00 Submitted
HRO-000520 INN KIPU-000152 CLM-000173 $7,609.65 $6,405.25 $6,497.17 Closed
HRO-000008 OON KIPU-000003 CLM-000004 $7,695.29 $3,654.22 $4,531.10 Closed
HRO-000017 OON KIPU-000005 CLM-000006 $23,827.05 $9,926.41 $9,590.22 Paid
HRO-000034 OON KIPU-000008 CLM-000009 $29,074.28 $14,605.49 $16,529.17 Closed
HRO-000048 OON KIPU-000012 CLM-000013 $2,852.73 $1,271.32 $1,524.67 Closed
HRO-000048 OON KIPU-000012 CLM-000014 $2,854.85 $1,488.02 $1,341.14 Paid
HRO-000048 OON KIPU-000013 CLM-000015 $21,571.38 $10,452.31 $12,642.27 Closed
HRO-000062 OON KIPU-000016 CLM-000018 $14,915.23 $7,850.46 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000067 OON KIPU-000017 CLM-000019 $7,804.98 $4,721.59 $5,869.23 Closed
HRO-000069 OON KIPU-000018 CLM-000020 $23,818.23 $13,467.09 $15,532.83 Closed
HRO-000118 OON KIPU-000027 CLM-000029 $18,947.65 $10,831.01 $13,240.55 Closed
HRO-000137 OON KIPU-000029 CLM-000031 $20,066.19 $10,998.06 $13,519.94 Closed
HRO-000139 OON KIPU-000030 CLM-000032 $10,511.66 $4,904.20 $4,748.94 Paid
HRO-000147 OON KIPU-000032 CLM-000034 $3,613.14 $2,109.26 $2,073.12 Paid
HRO-000170 OON KIPU-000042 CLM-000047 $2,672.88 $1,191.96 $1,111.81 Paid
HRO-000170 OON KIPU-000042 CLM-000048 $2,488.40 $1,108.50 $1,029.07 Paid
HRO-000170 OON KIPU-000043 CLM-000049 $14,340.02 $6,183.29 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000175 OON KIPU-000044 CLM-000050 $8,887.94 $5,480.26 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000175 OON KIPU-000044 CLM-000051 $8,540.10 $4,851.31 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000198 OON KIPU-000047 CLM-000054 $11,556.58 $4,954.91 $4,651.45 Paid
HRO-000198 OON KIPU-000047 CLM-000055 $12,373.98 $5,876.01 $7,271.08 Closed
HRO-000202 OON KIPU-000049 CLM-000057 $9,425.76 $4,418.65 $4,363.85 Paid
HRO-000207 OON KIPU-000054 CLM-000063 $21,824.60 $13,230.42 $13,051.81 Paid
HRO-000229 OON KIPU-000059 CLM-000069 $11,907.97 $5,563.94 $5,207.29 Paid
HRO-000229 OON KIPU-000060 CLM-000070 $17,705.72 $7,316.23 $7,307.88 Paid
HRO-000234 OON KIPU-000061 CLM-000071 $15,136.82 $7,584.89 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000255 OON KIPU-000064 CLM-000074 $9,753.18 $5,454.45 $6,124.64 Closed
HRO-000255 OON KIPU-000065 CLM-000075 $15,815.94 $7,566.43 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000275 OON KIPU-000072 CLM-000083 $5,548.98 $2,990.13 $3,284.48 Closed
HRO-000275 OON KIPU-000073 CLM-000084 $10,682.37 $5,228.34 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000275 OON KIPU-000073 CLM-000085 $10,227.73 $6,244.35 $0.00 Denied
HRO-000309 OON KIPU-000084 CLM-000097 $7,323.22 $3,460.42 $3,352.12 Paid
HRO-000309 OON KIPU-000085 CLM-000098 $12,981.91 $5,950.10 $5,493.31 Paid
HRO-000316 OON KIPU-000088 CLM-000101 $9,419.86 $4,991.88 $4,737.94 Paid
HRO-000316 OON KIPU-000088 CLM-000102 $9,351.27 $5,184.96 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000318 OON KIPU-000091 CLM-000105 $4,321.23 $2,145.74 $0.00 Appealed
HRO-000334 OON KIPU-000096 CLM-000110 $8,556.11 $4,476.17 $4,292.81 Paid
HRO-000334 OON KIPU-000097 CLM-000111 $19,262.60 $12,080.31 $0.00 Denied
HRO-000336 OON KIPU-000098 CLM-000112 $11,841.42 $6,315.13 $7,012.15 Closed
HRO-000343 OON KIPU-000103 CLM-000117 $22,431.35 $10,810.47 $0.00 Denied
HRO-000344 OON KIPU-000104 CLM-000118 $11,524.82 $5,257.86 $4,930.48 Paid
HRO-000353 OON KIPU-000107 CLM-000121 $3,102.80 $1,553.67 $1,512.81 Paid
HRO-000353 OON KIPU-000107 CLM-000122 $5,044.43 $2,637.59 $2,574.09 Paid
HRO-000353 OON KIPU-000108 CLM-000123 $23,675.72 $13,322.93 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000374 OON KIPU-000111 CLM-000126 $4,891.16 $2,446.78 $2,896.17 Closed
HRO-000374 OON KIPU-000112 CLM-000127 $26,416.02 $12,767.58 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000378 OON KIPU-000114 CLM-000129 $5,753.48 $2,608.95 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000393 OON KIPU-000117 CLM-000132 $8,847.53 $3,999.92 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000408 OON KIPU-000123 CLM-000139 $6,659.12 $4,306.23 $4,802.46 Closed
HRO-000408 OON KIPU-000124 CLM-000140 $17,695.25 $7,370.45 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000436 OON KIPU-000132 CLM-000149 $8,059.44 $4,363.44 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000450 OON KIPU-000135 CLM-000152 $6,545.01 $3,497.47 $0.00 Denied
HRO-000450 OON KIPU-000136 CLM-000153 $17,494.31 $7,133.93 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000463 OON KIPU-000139 CLM-000157 $14,029.62 $8,201.41 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000470 OON KIPU-000140 CLM-000158 $2,988.16 $1,715.44 $1,714.10 Paid
HRO-000470 OON KIPU-000140 CLM-000159 $4,673.35 $2,245.04 $2,229.29 Paid
HRO-000474 OON KIPU-000141 CLM-000160 $14,169.76 $6,488.92 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000510 OON KIPU-000147 CLM-000167 $12,923.08 $5,970.81 $5,886.94 Paid
HRO-000515 OON KIPU-000148 CLM-000168 $5,631.76 $2,489.37 $0.00 Pending
HRO-000515 OON KIPU-000148 CLM-000169 $6,081.85 $3,200.94 $3,073.64 Paid

101 INN claims, 59 OON claims shown above.

Derived from Harbor Ridge Scenario 1's frozen claims and payment data (harbor_ridge_scenario1.db), via the deterministic export at src/data/evidence-trail-251k.json. See also Evidence for what this category of result does and does not prove.